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September 29, 2003
[This program first aired August 5, 2003.]

Host: Michael Grant
Topics:

· Arizona's forest health and management practices
In-Studio Guests:
Harv Forsgren, regional forester, southwest region, Forest Service;
Charles Babbitt, spokesperson, Maricopa Audubon society;
Joe Feller, Professor of Law, Arizona State University.

>> Michael: The Aspen fire near Tucson, the Rodeo-Chediski fire in the White Mountains, experts warn it's only a matter of time until another out of control fire burns in Arizona's forests. A number of factor have led to the decline of of our forests, including drought, the way we've managed our forests and the emphasis on wildfire suppression. The question facing those in charge of our forests is how best can they manage them to ensure their healthy survival, a question we hope to answer tonight. Good evening, I'm Michael Grant. Welcome to "Horizon." There are some 5 million acres of Ponderosa pine forests in the southwest, and in just the past two years you a alone fire and bark beetle infestation have destroyed more than a million acres in Arizona. Now the agencies responsible for managing public lands face the task of deciding what's the best way to restore the health of our forests. In a moment I'll talk to different parties involved in that pray zest, but first a look at how a combination of environmental conditions, management policies and other challenges have created the critical situation that exists today.

>> Reporter: For millions of years long-needle pines like the Ponderosa have dominated the landscape in Arizona's higher elevations, forming what is today the largest Ponderosa pine forest in the world. But during the last two centuries, the series of man made circumstances significantly reduced the number of wildfires that occur naturally in this environment bringing about some very negative changes. Researcher Wally Covington has been studying forests and the dynamics that have shaped them for almost three decades.

>> Covington: Forests this dense are real Le unusual. Before settlement there were only about 20 to 30 trees per acre on these areas, and most of the trees were these big yellow barked pines we see here, typically ranging from 180 to maybe 500-plus years old in age. The forests were very open and park like. The frequent fires held pine populations in check so that the grasses and wildflowers could flourish as well as trees. But shortly after fire exclusion, a tremendous population eruption began of Ponderosa pine trees. You see these behind me here. There are now almost 1200 trees per acre.

>> Reporter: For early settlers in places like Flagstaff timber was a valuable resource, and essential to the areas growth and prosperity. At the time the goal was to maximize the harvest of wood. Wildfires were considered wasteful and their importance to the forests was not understood.

>> Covington: When you read the early forest plans from back in the early part of the 20th century, early foresters actually encouraged overgrazing because they fire was such a big threat to the forest. And that overgrazing removed the grasses and wildflowers that had allowed fires to sweep across the landscape on that high frequency.

>> Reporter: Researchers are able to gauge the historical behavior of wildfire by examining cross sections of old growth trees which indicate not only the age of the tree, but also how often fires occurred.

>> Covington: Each of these little arrows you see here represents a fire scar. This particular tree has a center date of 1692. You can see steady fire scars up until 1876. And then when the livestock showed up, that's what stopped fires originally in here. After the frequent fires were disrupted, then there was nothing to control pine seedling establishment.

>> Reporter: As the overall number of trees in the forest multiplies the competition for water and nutrients becomes more intense. There is an increase in the mortality of old growth trees which weaken and become more susceptible drought and attack by insects like the bark beetle. The spaces between the large trees become filled with dead vegetation and the smaller younger trees create fire ladders that effectively fuel a very different and devastating kind of fire.

>> Covington: Instead of fires burning through the surface vegetation which was the natural fire regime, what we started seeing is fires getting up into the canopies of these old growth trees and the fires are getting bigger and bigger.

>> Reporter: According to Forest Service records between 1910 and 1930 the overabundance of trees in combination with drought conditions, high winds and dry vegetation resulted in a series of catastrophic wildfires in a number of states, including Arizona. Consequently, an official policy of fire suppression began to evolve over the decades that followed.

>> Bruce Greco: During '40s and the '50s when we started to prevent fires very specific direction in fire policy to suppress fires, we utilized throughout the Forest Service and particularly on public lands. During this same time we had very active, very prolific regeneration in the forest.

>> Covington: The main duty of public land managers was to protect the forest -- they thought they were protecting them from the fire. In fact, they were just delaying fires is all they were doing.

>> Greco: Through the '50s, '60s, even 70s, we were very successful in most cases of suppressing fire. The vegetation in the forest discontinued to grow and become established. During that period of time, here Northern Arizona forests on many of these forests, we could easily harvest 150 million board feet a year and still have wood fiber growing more rapidly than what was harvested. So in the management of the forest we were not even keeping up with the growth, even by harvesting the timber at that time.

>> Reporter: During another 70s and '80s the environmental movement became a powerful force. Legislation was enacted that allowed the public to take on a significant role in natural resource management and as people began to take a greater interest in environmental quality issues, activists began to challenge many of the traditional practices in the public forests.

>> Covington: On our wood production industry concentrated on big old growth trees and a tremendous amount of money was made, of course, out of harvesting those old growth trees. By the 1960s and '70s, the old growth trees, these older yellow bark trees, were becoming rarer and rarer. There was such a concern about overcuting of forests globally as well as in Arizona, that a lot of environmental activists groups started working to try to eliminate the wood products industry, especially that section that used the large old trees.

>> Sandy Bahr: When the Sierra Club in particular and environmental allists really engaged in forest planning activities, looking at timber sales, really started in the beginning of the 1980s and over time, you know, the involvement has increased. We have 5% or less of our old growth forests left in the southwest. So if it's going to involve old growth logging you can bet that people are going to be very interested and very concerned.

>> Greco: When we got into the mid-'80s, a lot of litigation, lawsuits, other reasons that the timber industry basically went away. Because we don't have the timber industry available or the tools available to harvest the timber and to thin these stands out, we've had to really change the policy and the tactics, if you will, of how we manage a forest and how we protect it from wildfire.

>> Reporter: The debate continues as to whether or not commercial logging can play a role in sound forest management, but in the early days of the 21st century, most agree that Arizona's pine forests will require considerable help if they are to be restored to health and catastrophic fire is to be avoided.

>> Bahr: What I hope happens is that you will see a more thinned forest around communities where they will have taken out the smaller trees, done some prescribed burning. Beyond that, you know, what we want is for a more natural system to come back.

>> Greco: The challenge that we have is to physically reduce the amount of fuel that's going to contribute to wildfire, defeating that monster. We need to make sure that in that process the publics involved, all interests, all agencies, together, to move forward. But we have to move very quickly to do that. Our landscape in Arizona is at extreme risk.

>> Covington: We basically have room along the Mogollon Rim through Flagstaff for about four Rodeo-Chediski-size burns to occur before it's all gone. In practical human terms, it's a permanent loss. So the -- we owe it not just to ourselves, but also to the rest of the nature to restore forest health.

>> Michael: Earlier I talked to three people who represent three very different perspectives on forest management, Harv Forsgren, regional forester for the southwest region of the Forest Service, Charles Babbitt, spokesperson for the Maricopa Audubon society and Joe Feller, professor of law at Arizona State University. Here is that interview.

>> Michael: What I wanted to first is try to figure out how much agreement or disagreement we've gate about the problem we've got in Arizona's forests. How do you see the condition of Arizona forests right now? How bad is it?

>> Forsgren: Well, it's pretty bad. Of course, it depends on your perspective and how you define bad, but if you're interested in the health of the forests and the function of those forest and the ability of those forests to deliver a variety of goods and services it's pretty bad. If you live in a community adjacent to those forests and have fear, reasonable fear of your community or your home being threatened by wildfire, it's pretty bad.

>> Michael: Gross numbers, we've lost, what, 800,000 acres to fires in the past year and maybe more than that to the bark beetle?

>> Forsgren: Well, probably close to that to bark beetle, a little more than that across the southwest to fire. Last year we lost over a million acres to fire. This year we're only at perhaps two to 400,000 acres burned thus far this year.

>> Michael: Joe, do you see the situation any different than that? Is this real bad, critical, not so bad, or what?

>> Feller: We have a serious problem, a very serious problem, both with the fire risk and with the bark beetles. There's no question about that. I think one has to be careful in characterizing that problem because what we have is a combination of drought and a very high density of young relatively small trees. The drought, of course, is something that's beyond our control, and it's sometimes hard to sort out how much of the problem is the drought and how much of the problem is the excess density of trees. With regard to those trees, it is the young ones, it is the small ones, that are the big problem. When you look at the older, larger trees, we actually have the opposite problem. We have too few of them. Most of them are gone. And I think that's an important distinction to keep in mind.

>> Michael: I guess what I don't understand about that statement, though, we keep hearing about canopy fires, the ones that burn at the top of the forest and burn at tremendous temperatures and move. So why is it the young trees are the problem?

>> Feller: Well, it's because we have such large numbers of them, and when I say young trees, I'm not talking about little short trees. These are trees which may be anywhere from 6 to 15 inches in diameter, and they are tall and they contribute to the canopy and if you go up, say, around Flagstaff or around Show Low on the Apache-Sitgreaves or the Coconino national forest, most of that canopy is those relatively young trees with a relative -- with a much smaller number of the larger trees scattered among them.

>> Michael: Charlie, I think, I don't want to speak for you, because you're more than capable of doing that for yourself, but I think you think the problem is being overstated?

>> Babbitt: I do think the problem is -- has been overstated to some degree. Probably the most striking thing about our forest today is the lack of the big tree component. 95% of our big old growth large Ponderosa pines have been logged off. Across the landscape, that's the most striking thing. In terms of our forests being too dense with too many young trees, that's clearly the case in some areas. But I think that's been overstated to some degree because that's clearly not the case in -- for example, on the north Kaibab. You don't have that kind of dense tree growth on much of the north Kaibab, on certain areas on the Sitgreaves.

>> Michael: What about the Prescott, though --

>> Babbitt: Sure, I'm not saying that that is not a problem. It's clearly a problem. But we also have large areas where we -- Arizona forests are not just forests. Arizona forests are made up lots of different types and compositions of forests within the specific forests. On top of that we've gone pinion juniper, we have mixed conifer, we've got spruce fir and these conditions don't exist in lot of the other forest types.

>> Forsgren: But if you look across the landscape of the southwest, we've got about 36 million wooded acres. Two-thirds of that acreage is classified at being at high to moderate risk of catastrophic fire and it's tied to that overly dense stands of largely small younger trees. It's those younger trees that provide the access for the fire to move up off the floor forest floor and get into the canopy and become a stand replacement fire killing everything in its path.

>> Michael: Charlie, all of us, particularly with the Rodeo-Chediski fire last year, became familiar, some of us for the first time, with the fact that this was the largest stand of Ponderosa pine in the world. Aren't we in danger of no longer having the largest stand of Ponderosa pine in the world?

>> Babbitt: I certainly don't think that at all. And we can certainly hopefully get through this severe drought. It's the drought -- last year was probably the driest year we may have had in 200, 500 years for what we know. That was -- that year was embedded in a five-year ongoing drought. It's clearly the drought that is driving these fires, the big fires, and we may continue to see big fires if the drought continues. I think it's all pretty much depends on what happens. If the drought continues and the severity deepens, we may see significant additional areas burned off and there's really not much we can do about it.

>> Michael: Let me rotate back to the start, Harv, at least now that we've tried to put the condition into some context. What's solution in your opinion? What do we need to do in terms of urban interface, forest management, forest thinning, those kinds of things?

>> Forsgren: Well, clearly given the magnitude of the problem and available resources, we've got to set some priorities and I think that that priority starts with the wild land urban interface. Our first priority has to be protecting people and private property. Contributing to that.

>> Michael: What do you mean -- put in that English. What is protecting the urban interface?

>> Forsgren: It means that we've got to thin those forests immediately adjacent to developed areas so that we provide firefighters the opportunity to have some opportunity to protect those structures when we get a fire come roaring out of the forest.

>> Michael: Is there any disagreement at the table with that is priority number one?

>> Feller: I don't disagree with that. I think most environmental groups would not disagree with that. I think that's pretty universally agreed upon, that the so-called wildland urban interface should be first priority.

>> Michael: Do you get disagreement on how big that clearance area ought to be? Should it be 100 meters, 500 meters, two miles?

>> Feller: There is some disagreement over that, but the real conflict comes in when timber cutting projects go on that are way outside that urban interface, miles into the back country. So outside the interface by anyone's definition and there continue to be quite a few major timber cutting projects way in the back country, some of which are cutting not just the small trees, but some of the big old growth trees. Those are the ones that are creating controversy. Those are the ones that lead to sometimes administrative appeals, and in rare occasions, litigation.

>> Michael: Charlie, here's what I heard, though, during the Rodeo-Chediski fire last year and I heard it from a variety of different sources, that in areas of the Indian reservation where thinning and forest management techniques had been followed through on that I don't think you support and I think, Joe, you're a little ambivalent about, that when the fire hit those areas the fire cooled, it slowed down, they worked and those were deep in some forest areas.

>> Babbitt: Yeah, there were a lot of anecdotal stories to that extent. I think a lot of times people were seeing what they really wanted to see, and I also heard that areas that had been previously logged thinned, that the fire would lay down. There are so many variables in a big fire like that. You know, a fire will naturally lie down at night. A fire will naturally lie down when there's a decrease in wind velocity or it hits a different type of topography.

>> Michael: Here's what I heard, I heard this was at noon with prevailing winds. And it dropped.

>> Babbitt: Well -- the regardless of whether or not -- you know, the fire was laying down or not, you know, it's doubtful that any sort of treatment, in my opinion, or any type of activity prior to that on those forests probably would have made any difference given the size and intensity that that fire was burning.

>> Michael: Let me go back to the urban interface question, though, do you agree on the urban interface, but in your opinion is fire the only way to do, not trimming?

>> Babbitt: Well, yeah, I -- I agree wholeheartedly with Harv and Joe, that the urban interface is where we've got to do the work. There's still a problem out there with defining what exactly is the urban interface and what you're going to include. I mean, you know, some people want to extend that out and consider, you know a small group of houses or a ranch out there as part of the urban interface. We've got to define that. And it's been defined in some documents. A number of people per acre or number of structures per acre. But in general, we agree that that our first priority and our funding priority should be to protect communities, and much of the Forest Service's own research shows that can be done by creating a defensible barrier of about 500 meters, you know, around --

>> Forsgren: I think at this point I want to say something else that's really important that needs to be done and that is to define and try to reach agreement on what values it is we're trying to provide for. The research is clear if is if all we want to do is protect structures, we have to deal with a relatively narrow area. But who wants to have a home saved that sits in a blackened landscape. We live on this landscape because of the other values, the scenic beauty and water quality and wildlife habitat that is going to take us addressing this at a much larger scale and dealing with much a larger piece of the landscape.

>> Michael: Harv, the governor keeps hammering and I think to a certain extent appropriately so, the federal government needs to open up more resources for trimming and trimming deeper in the forest, but realistically, taxpayer money can't do this, can it?

>> Forsgren: If you look at the situation out there, the number of acres that would need to be treated to address both the ecological restoration as well as community protection, it is unrealistic to assume there will ever be enough federal resources allocated to do that job. I really believe that the only way that we're going to address it, if we reach agreement that we want to address on it that broader scale of both ecological restoration and community protection so that we encompass all the values, if we want to do that, it's going to take some private sector involvement. We're going to have to be able to capture some of the value in that biomass that needs to be removed so we can offset the cost of the treatment.

>> Feller: That's, of course, where you get into very dangerous territory. If you can capture volume from the biomass, biomass meaning any kind of wood material, yes, that would be terrific.

>> Michael: In other words, the commercial logger needs to get some bang for the buck, he needs to get board feet, he needs --

>> Forsgren: Really the commercial logging is -- would be extremely small component of the solution. Because I don't -- I don't disagree with the statement that was made earlier that the biggest component of this problem is small diameter trees. It's small trees that don't have a saw log value, don't have a board value. It has to be other kinds of uses that require a lot of small material, like generating electricity, like generating synthetic fuels.

>> Feller: Because if you go just for the traditional saw timber value, that means cutting the big trees. These small trees may have value for making some kind of fiber board or Chip board or for burning for energy. They're not very good for saw timber.

>> Michael: But I think what you're concerned about, and I think what you, Charlie, are concerned about is that this will turn from a forest health management initiative to a commercial enterprise?

>> Babbitt: Precisely. There's no -- nothing out there in terms of bioGEN plants anything that looks realistically right can that handle a large volume of these small diameter trees. Fee for services contracts, the kind of things that Harv has been talking about and, you know, is now in some legislation that the Congress is considering, we think are just going to provide an incentive for the logging contractor to go in and just take the last of the big trees. That's where the value is.

>> Michael: Why can't he police that contract? Why can't he make sure that that doesn't occur?

>> Babbitt: The Forest Service doing the policing for the last three decades has been unable to do that when they've been the direct policemen. How can we trust them when giving that to a third party?

>> Michael: Harv?

>> Forsgren: I think the only way that we can have that trust is to earn it, and that's going to take involvement of communities of both and place interest up front in defining what we want our forests to look like and what values you want them to provide --

>> Babbitt: Harv, I don't think we can trust the Forest Service to do the responsible thing when the last six timber sales on the north Kaibab ranger district have resulted in the cutting of 55,000 old growth trees in excess of 18 inches in diameter, which includes over 20,000 trees 24 inches in diameter. That is a priceless resource and the Forest Service continues to cut old growth trees on the north Kaibab ranger district.

>> Michael: But, Joe, while we have this debate are we not literally fiddling while -- it's not Rome, but the State of Arizona is burning.

>> Feller: We do have to get moving on some of these projects. I think trust can come through transparency. I don't think that Charlie would trust, and I don't think that Harv would ask Charlie to trust just, you know, turn the other way and count on the Forest Service to do the right thing. What we need is environmental documentation of exactly what is going to be happening so that the public can see this timber sale is going to be cutting trees of certain sizes in certain numbers so that they can judge for themselves. I think as long as we have that kind of clear environmental documentation so that people can see what the Forest Service is doing, then there's the possibility of building trust.

>> Forsgren: I think that's absolutely right. I think the other piece of that is the follow through on the back end, that to the extent that we engage independent third parties in monitoring the results, that will also build trust and support.

>> Michael: Do you have to go to long-term commercial contracts? Do you have to give a commercial operation some assurance that if you invest this capital we'll allow you to do this for a term?

>> Forsgren: Because we don't have a restoration infrastructure in place in Arizona, I believe that we have to. These are business decisions that have to be made and people have to get loans to invest in the machinery to process this material. That doesn't happen if there isn't some kind of assurance of a sustainable supply of raw material for that facility.

>> Michael: Are we going to remain at loggerheads on this issue for a lot longer?

>> Babbitt: Well --

>> Michael: If you'll pardon the expression?

>> Babbitt: Well, I don't know about that, but -- but the issue that we see as of paramount importance is trying to preserve what is left of Arizona's big trees and old growth forests, and we will be at logger heads as long as people, be they private parties or the Forest Service or whoever, continues to log that valuable resource.

>> Michael: Charlie Babbitt, thank you very much for joining us. Joe Feller, good to see you. Harv Forsgren, our thanks to you as well.

>> Forsgren: Thanks for the invite.

>> Michael: Thank you very much for joining us this evening. I'm Michael Grant. Have a good one. Good night.

 

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