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September 27, 2002
Host: Michael
Grant
Topics:
The "Journalists' Roundtable"
In-Studio Guests:
Paul Giblin , Scottsdale Tribune;
Doug McEachern, The Arizona Republic;
Barrett Marson, The East Valley Tribune
>> Michael: It's Friday, September 27th, 2002.
>>> Michael: In the headlines this week, President Bush came
to Arizona today to raise money and stump for Republican candidates.
>>> Michael: Airlines are asking for more financial help from
the federal government to deal with the costs associated with
September 11th.
>>> Michael: Petitions to stop the new cardinals football stadium
will soon be submitted in Glendale.
>>> Michael: Good evening, I'm Michael Grant, and this is the
journalists' roundtable. Joining me to talk about these and other
stories are Paul Giblin with the "Scottsdale Tribune"; Doug McEachern
from "The Arizona Republic"; and Barrett Marson with "The East
Valley Tribune." President Bush spent time in Arizona today stopping
in Flagstaff and Phoenix on a political trip. Doug, what does
the president's trip mean to the GOP?
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Well, it means a lot for a couple of people
here in Arizona. But didn't he look great in the bomber jacket?
>> Michael: He did. It turns out with the weather, the inclement
weather up in Flagstaff, it was fairly well chosen.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Nice touch up in Flag. It means a lot for
Matt Salmon, of course. Matt is -- his campaign is dribbling dry
and he certainly needs the money, and he certainly stands to make
a 2 lot -- gain a lot contributionwise from this trip. The other
one that certainly benefitted is Rick Rimsey up in Flagstaff and
in the new district, CD-1, running for congress, who also spent
a ton of money in the primary to clear the field, but is still
a big unknown factor up there. He'll make a lot of money from
this, too.
>> Michael: Barrett, as Doug pointed out, the timing on this
thing, particularly for the Salmon campaign is pretty good, still
fairly early and the -- the coffers have been dry.
>> Barrett Marson: The event is over. You can still hear the
ka-chings going on. He had $30,000 in the bank after the primary.
This is going to help him fight Janet with his own ads. Janet
has been out there. She's got ads running now. This will help
him counter those. Just add to his coffers now.
>> Michael: Meanwhile back in Flagstaff, the president talking
about forest management techniques and looking forward to working
with congressman Rick Rimsey in Congressional District 1. This
week, sort of an interesting development on the other side of
that race, George Cordova, the Democratic nominee for the seat
and the Democratic National Committee expressing not a lot of
enthusiasm for the candidacy.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: The national Democrats are slow to react.
They didn't expect Cordova to be the nominee here. They saw one
of two likely 3 candidates, Steve Udall or Fred Duval, and neither
of those made the cut. So Cordova is a bit of an unknown. It's
taking a little bit of gearing up. I'm sure it's a vital seat.
It's still clearly very much up for grabs, despite the fact that
Cordova is more of an unknown than the other two had been. So
I anticipate that once they get rolling, they'll put more resources
in it pretty quickly.
>> Michael: Although Democrats hold an advantage in that CD,
it's been a target for both sides, and it's a conservative district,
Barrett. It's clearly winnable by a Republican, clearly winnable
by the Democrat.
>> Barrett Marson: That is certainly the thought going in when
this district was drawn up, one that would be rural and two that
it be competitive, and it certainly is. The Democrats are very
conservative. So the right Republican can win despite the fact
that the Democrats have the advantage.
>> Michael: Meanwhile, back in Phoenix, President Bush's speaking,
seemed comfortable, conversational?
>> Doug Mac Eachern: It's a relative thing to say that George
Bush is a good speaker, but listening to the speech delivered
today, he tried to inject, as he always does, his down-home Texas
vernacular, but he seems to have a better projection than he did,
certainly on the campaign trail when it was first running. He
seems much more comfortable in making his presentations and 4
all of the issues that he's dealt with, that he dealt with in
the speech today are issues that he's touched on plenty of times.
>> Michael: One of the things that fascinates me about a presidential
trip anyplace is how the Whitehouse staff localizes the speech.
It truly is amazing, bringing in the forest management techniques,
talking about Senator Kyl being on the judiciary committee and
his judicial nominee has been having trouble in the senate. It
really is -- it's a masterful operation to watch.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: He touched all of the local bases he had
to. He mentioned not only Kyl, but John McCain very favorably
several times, and he mentioned Jane Hull in a favorable way.
>> Michael: He worked with her as Arizona Governor and Texas
Governor.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: And of course, he mentioned the heck out
of Matt Salmon.
>> Michael: The man of the hour.
>>> Michael: Well, speaking of Matt Salmon, gubernatorial debate
on radio this week, Barrett, was pretty sharp conflicts and contrasts
between the candidates?
>> Barrett Marson: Listening to that debate, you at least got
the impression that each of the candidates knew what they were
talking about and seemed fairly competent and assured of themselves,
which hasn't always been the case in gubernatorial debates here.
But you know, we saw some good fireworks between Matt and Janet,
really some defendable lines that they are drawing and over the
next about two months or month and a half, I think it's going
to be pretty exciting, especially the more debates we get into.
>> Michael: I think you saw, obviously, the strategies of both
campaigns. Janet Napolitano trying to tie Matt Salmon to Jane
Hull, Fife Symington to Ev Mecham. Matt Salmon painting Napolitano
as a big spending liberal.
>> Barrett Marson: After the debate the big news came out that
Janet talked about the failed Republican policy of the last decade
or so. But afterwards is when they really nailed her on what were
those policies, and it was the tax cuts, the income tax cuts and
such.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: You know, the dynamics are getting to be
fascinating. There was a lively debate as Barrett said. You've
got -- you've got some great zingers in there. Dick Mahoney is
wonderful, interjecting his perspective into this. Barry Hess
had great lines, which is rare for a Libertarian.
>> Michael: All of them were at the top of their form.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Yeah, they were. And the interesting thing
is, one of the issues that Janet certainly is justifiably, I think,
attacking now is his list of clients from his consulting business.
I think something well worth pursuing. There is a flip side to
that and Matt alluded to it. He didn't attack it head on, and
I think it's something he's going to be working on in coming races
and that is you were a private attorney once, too, and you represented
Anita Hill. Who paid the bills there? Those are questions that
I'm sure are going to be asked sometime.
>> Paul Giblin: Interesting in the last poll though, Dick Mahoney,
who you mentioned, didn't do well. He is polling 3%. I believe
some people thought he had more of a force. It doesn't seem like
that's happening so far. Any thoughts on that?
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Well, the polls show Dick surprisingly
low.
>> Michael: I was expecting high single digit numbers maybe,
maybe something in the vicinity of 8% or so.
>> Barrett Marson: The thing is, he has the money. He got $700,000
and change. He's got every corner -- street corner has a Dick
Mahoney sign and he's got his nice, beautiful mug on there. One
would think his numbers would be higher from face recognition.
>> Paul Giblin: Is there any possibility that the debates --
with more debates he'll get higher numbers?
>> Doug Mac Eachern: I think so. There has been issues that have
lifted Matt and Janet to the surface. Apart from the campaign,
there is the convict thing that Janet -- a lot of issues that
Janet has had her face in, and Matt as well. And certainly, you
know, the president's presence here doesn't hurt him. I think
Mahoney will have more of an effect later on in the campaign.
>> Michael: Ironically enough, the president's appearance here
7 does help indirectly Janet Napolitano?
>> Barrett Marson: They'll get more money. The more money Matt
raises, the more money Janet gets and Mahoney, the more money
he gets. They are rooting for him to raise that money.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: The clean elections -- the rules have changed
in the general election, and it's a convoluted strained system
that I fully admit I haven't entirely grasped. And she'll be telling
them, get all of the money you want because I want to get some,
too.
>> Michael: She wished them luck. They hope to raise a lot of
money. Well, moving to the gaming propositions, Scottsdale Mayor
Mary Manross coming out against Prop 201 this week.
>> Paul Giblin: There is concern from mothers that if gaming
were to move to the racetracks, that would open the doors for
other businessmen who aren't affiliated with the Indian tribes
to say, fairness is fairness, if the tracks can do it, why can't
I do it in my big downtown Scottsdale resort. If one resort gets
it, the next will get it and the next will get it, and it could
change the complexion of the tourism industry in the state and
the complexion of the entire state. That's their concern.
>> Michael: I thought it was an interesting continuation for
the theme of the City of Scottsdale, too, because they very peacefully
co-existed with the Pimas there in relation to the gaming issue
when the Pimas ran the proposition a few years back. Scottsdale
said sure, that's fine.
>> Paul Giblin: It's a small amount, and they are able to attract
a different market as far as tourism. Gaming gets its market,
and Scottsdale's market is old west character and luxury accommodations,
that sort of thing. They are distinct. If gambling were to go
to the tracks and spread from there, it could change everything.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: This is one of the first examples of issues
apart from the advertising that you've seen that are underneath
these three propositions, these three ballot initiatives. There's
-- I think -- up until now, voters -- these have been defined
by Prop 200 promising 18,000 scholarships and the tracks promising
to reduce the deficit of the state, but there are others who,
like you say, Paul, they are out there.
>> Paul Giblin: You raise a good point because most of these
things are unknown. The people we were asking this week don't
know the answers. Very likely they will have to go through the
court, and you know how that is, predicting how that will happen.
>> Michael: What did we find out about Joe Arizona?
>> Barrett Marson: We know he lives in Arizona, but that's the
only thing we know about him right now, whether it's the Grand
Canyon or state park in Utah, those commercials, we're still not
quite sure what he's depicting in his commercials. It only helps
lead to the confusion in the general gaming proposition anyway.
>> Paul Giblin: I'm wondering if Joe Arizona is related to Joe
Isuzu, the liar.
>> Michael: Senator Verkamp ran into trouble in Scottsdale this
week, Paul?
>> Paul Giblin: Well, one of those components of the tourism
industry is there is a lot of bars out there. He was traveling
with a companion who was pulled over for DUI. He wanted to express
his thoughts to the police rather forcefully and got arrested.
He is on his way out of office because he is not running.
>> Barrett Marson: Did he ask the officer, do you know who I
am?
>> Paul Giblin: No.
>> Michael: We finally finalized a few trailing election results
from the primary this week, Barrett. What happened in the senate
race in District 11? Representative Leff will move up. She defeated
Senator Gerrard by 1160 votes. A very tight race. It was a dirty
race, a little bit. There was a lot of attack ads in that race.
But the -- Leff did come out victorious in that one.
>> Michael: And the Libertarian also had a recount?
>> Barrett Marson: Libertarian Barry Hess came out.
>> Michael: It does occur to me, Doug, that the recount process,
obviously, is written into the statute? It's what, 50 votes for
the legislature, and 300 or so for -- 200 for statewide office
demanding an automatic recount. But with today's ballots, you
wonder if an automatic recount really makes a whole lot of sense
at this point in time. It's not like the old days when maybe somebody
counted it up wrong and said, oh, I'm sorry, that was a yes block
there, not a no block, that kind of thing.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Well, yeah, with the election result that
really comes so quickly or electronically tabulated, clearly people
don't go through ballots hand by hand when they are counting them,
at least not the first time. So, yeah, I honestly was very surprised
that it took as long as it did to finally come to the conclusion
about Leff.
>> Paul Giblin: Part of the issue, in most places you mark the
ballot with a black magic marker and machines read that automatically,
but people who don't put a big black line, the machines sometimes
don't read those. Those are the ones they are counting.
>> Barrett Marson: Use your number two pencil.
>> Michael: In the year since the September 11th attacks on
America, the American airline industry has been hit with extra
costs associated with increased security. What are the airlines
asking the government to do about it?
>> Paul Giblin: They are asking for a lot. It looks like the
airlines are coming out of last year's problems not so fast. The
airlines are asking for more funding to help with security. They
contend this is a federal issue, not a privatized issue, which
security has been in the past. So they are asking for more money
for security. They want the government to help out with war insurance,
with thought there could be another war coming up, it could bankrupt
a couple of airlines, maybe some close to us here in Arizona.
>> Michael: I was going to say that the speculation continues
about America West. How solid do you think speculation is?
>> Paul Giblin: Hard to judge. Their stock did poorly. All airline
stocks did poorly. War would hurt them and drive up fuel prices,
which is a major component for airlines. So all of the stocks
are coming down, came down today, Dow Jones fell 300, so we're
seeing the industry take another dive.
>> Michael: Obviously, the federal government stepped forward
with just a ton of bucks last year, Paul, for airline industry
relief. You wonder if we're getting into a vicious cycle here?
>> Paul Giblin: You wonder that initially, but when you look
at the economy, by and large, we really have adapted to airlines.
People, executives fly back and forth all over the place. In our
community where we have so much high tech, a lot of that high
tech is manufactured here but used elsewhere, and that's done
by airlines because of the short order times. So airlines really
are a greater part of the global economy than you might think
than it was even 20 years ago before deregulation.
>> Michael: Barrett, City of Tempe teaming with Cave Creek and
carefree in the dispute over the new flight paths into and out
of Sky Harbor Airport?
>> Barrett Marson: Right. A unified voice is better than two
separate voices, and it combines two separate court cases, and
you've got to figure a judge will like that any time he can cut
his workload in half. So Tempe is pretty confident that these
will be combined, though the FAA opposes this. They would rather
see the divide and conquer rule stand there.
>> Michael: They also maintain that there are substantially different
issues in the two cases, which would make some sense. I mean,
obviously Tempe is right at the end of the runway, Carefree and
Cave Creek are a little remote.
>> Barrett Marson: And I think there is a potential for eventually
down the road where Tempe's wishes may clash with what Carefree
and Cave Creek would like, because you're right. Cave Creek and
Carefree want to limit the amount of flights over there. Tempe
wants to limit the amount of flights period out of Sky Harbor,
so, eventually, I think, there will be some clashing, but right
now, they are willing to at least show some unified front there.
>> Michael: Another transportation related development, Doug.
What happened with Ford's Crown Victoria?
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Well, a good thing happened actually. The
issue is settled without spending four or five years in court.
At least it is to this point -- it's like they are working toward
a really, I think, fair resolution of the problem. Fair in the
respect that it addresses the issues that are affecting the cops
on the street. They spent 90 days looking into what the problems
are. They haven't -- they don't know for a fact what -- what's
causing squad cars in Arizona to explode on impact, but they think
they've identified some of the problems. They are going to fix
it. They're going to put a special luggage pack in the trunk that
the cops can put their gear in, and they think that can help the
issue.
>> Michael: How confident are they in some of the solutions?
Because I know, for example, some of the things that they have
looked at, both sides from time to time, have indicated that they
are not quite sure it would actually solve the problem.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: They've only been looking at this since
late June. That's when the blue ribbon panel got together and
when the technical group started looking into it. So 90 days is
not a lot of time to really resolve this issue with any kind of
certainty. So they are going to continue looking into it until
the end of the year. That's when they're going to issue their
final report, but as for right now, Ford is going to spend, I
think, an estimated $50 million to fix all of the problems. They
are not admitting that there is anything wrong with the car, which
is what you would expect. This is a very touchy legal area right
there, of course, but they're going to take steps to fix cars,
and I think hopefully they'll make them safer for the police.
>> Barrett Marson: The bad publicity has scared away Tempe,
for instance. They are probably going to switch to the Malibu.
They'll retrofit current cars, but they are not going to buy any
more Crown Vics.
>> Michael: Finally in this segment, how much money is the coast
guard going to spend with General Dynamics?
>> Paul Giblin: A big chunk of change. $611 million. Most of
the that money will be spent here in Scottsdale in the south Scottsdale
plant. Obviously our headlines for the past year, year and a half
talked about layoffs and business drying up and going away, like
the airlines. General Dynamics might do hiring because of this
work. It's government work, it's good work, of course, but you
would like to see private sector business picking up as well,
but heck, $611 million, government or not, that's good work.
>> Michael: Pardon the expression, "any port in the storm".
>> Paul Giblin: That's right.
>> Michael: Opponents of the proposed Cardinal stadium are preparing
to turn in petitions to stop it. Barrett, there is a presidential
visit twist to this story?
>> Barrett Marson: I'm not quite sure how much publicity Tim
Weaver thought he was going to get, but he didn't want that publicity
to clash with the president's visit here, so he delayed it until
Monday so he can have all of the page 1 space, I guess.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: That's what we think. We balance Tim Weaver,
Libertarians in Glendale and President Bush and the rest of the
state.
>> Barrett Marson: Well, anyway, I'm sure it'll get the exact
same amount of news space, but he claims he has the amount of
signatures needed for a referendum in Glendale on the stadium.
It will end up in court because Glendale says it's not referrible
and Tim Weaver believes it is, and so we'll find out, but Glendale
is pretty confident that what they've done is an administrative
act and not subject to the referendum.
>> Paul Giblin: Glendale has the strangest city government I've
ever seen in the entire Valley. There is no public discussion.
There is no justifying votes. Their meetings are a joke. It's
incredible what Glendale has done with this and the hockey arena.
>> Barrett Marson: They didn't have one public city council meeting
where they discussed the stadium.
>> Paul Giblin: What they do is they have a vote with no
discussion. They end the meeting as quickly as they can and shake
hands and get autographed jerseys put on their back. It's a joke
of a government.
>> Michael: What's your point?
>> Paul Giblin: My point is, there is a very good chance that
this could be overturned. Why not? I mean, we don't have to go
on about the TSA and how they don't make friends --
>> Michael: Maybe so, but I'm just looking at it as an outsider.
I haven't seen the frothing public resentment in Glendale that
I've seen in a variety of other places.
>> Barrett Marson: Not only that, it's easy to get signatures,
even if this does qualify. But you're right. Glendale is not Mesa.
Glendale wants the stadium. If they were to hold an election in
March of 2003, it would probably pass. Meanwhile, John F. Long
is preventing the TSA from doing anything anyway.
>> Paul Giblin: This could ferment with John F. Long delaying
it. So if this thing ferments for another year while John F. Long
keeps it in the courts, who knows. They might read the documents
and find out how much this thing is actually going to cost them.
>> Michael: City of Tempe has got religion. They would like a
statewide smoking ban?
>> Barrett Marson: It's not religion. They've seen the tax receipts,
and they would like to see -- all of a sudden they are big believers
here.
>> Michael: Is there a level playing field?
>> Barrett Marson: They want it so level. They don't want any
-- the bars are down 16%, 20% in revenues since the implementation
of the smoking ban, and Dr. Fairbanks moved onto Chandler and
dabbling in Scottsdale. But Tempe is realizing we need to move
the process on a little bit.
>> Paul Giblin: It makes sense if you have a smoking ban you
do it statewide or by metro area for the very reason you mentioned
there.
>> Michael: Doug, it was a tribal water rights bill that got
filed this week.
>> Doug Mac Eachern: Well, it was an issue that seems to have
gotten -- come in under the radar screen, but Senator Kyl and
McCain have jointly introduced some legislation that would settle
a great deal of the water debate here in Arizona. The tribes,
particularly the Gila River tribe, would do extraordinarily well,
which gives you some indication of how desperate Arizona in general
is to keep water from going to California. But one other aspect
of this legislation is that it would give $700 million of the
Central Arizona Project which is even by federal standards, a
good chunk of change.
>> Michael: It's a fairly significant development on a variety
of fronts, not the least of which is stability on a going forward
basis.
>> Barrett Marson: Not only that, cities can go to the Gilas
and start buying or leasing that water. A side note, speaking
of the stadium, this is going to bring Mesa and Gila River closer
together after the two of them were opponents in the stadium contest.
So that'll be another side benefit, but this is important to Mesa.
It's important to much of the valley, to get that water and get
that -- knowing where their water is going to come from for next
30 years as we continue to grow.
>> Michael: Okay, panelists thanks for the input.
>>> To see a transcript of tonight's show or share your views
or contact us, visit the Channel 8 Web site at www.kaet.asu.edu.
Click on "Horizon" on the left side of the screen and follow those
links.
>>> Join us Monday on "Horizon" for a look at proposition 202,
the gaming initiative, sponsored by 17 tribes in our state. Also
on Monday, Indian gaming measures expected to increase Native
American turnout. We'll talk about what impact that might have
on the elections.
>>> Tuesday, a look at two propositions, first a debate on Proposition
301 which would continue the State's lottery for another 10 years,
then we'll tell you more about Proposition 303, which would increase
tobacco taxes to pay for health services.
>>> Wednesday, an update on the problem with Arizona's clean
election system.
>>> And Thursday another ballot measure, Proposition 304, which
would give lawmakers a pay raise.
>>> All of that and more next week on "Horizon."
>>> Thanks for joining us on a Friday. Have a great weekend.
I'm Michael Grant. Good night.