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Cronkite-Eight Poll

FOR INFORMATION:
Contact Dr. Bruce Merrill at (480) 965-7051
EMBARGOED UNTIL Feb. 27, 2007, at 7 p.m.

REPUBLICANS PREFER MCCAIN OVER GIULIANI, GINGRICH AND ROMNEY

CLINTON AND OBAMA RUN NECK-AND-NECK AMONG DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

MCCAIN LEADS CLINTON IN ‘HEAD TO HEAD’

ARIZONA VOTERS WANT ROE VS. WADE UPHELD

ARIZONA VOTERS SUPPORT HYBRIDS’ USE OF HOV LANES; OPPOSE CREATION OF “HOT” LANES

ARIZONA VOTERS WANT STRONGER PENALTIES FOR EMPLOYERS WHO HIRE ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS; SUPPORT LABELING ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS CHARGED WITH CRIMES AS ‘DOMESTIC TERRORISTS’

TEMPE, Ariz. – A new statewide Cronkite/Eight Poll found that 61 percent of registered voters in Arizona support upholding Roe vs. Wade, the U.S. Supreme Court decision that legalized abortion in the United States more than 30 years ago. Thirty percent want the Supreme Court decision overturned. While Republicans are about evenly divided on the measure (49 percent want it overturned; 44 percent want it upheld), almost three-fourths of both Democrats and Independents want Roe vs. Wade upheld. A majority of both men and women support upholding the measure. The poll of 600 registered voters was conducted Feb. 22-25, 2007, by the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University and Eight/KAET-TV.

The latest Cronkite/Eight poll also found that Senator John McCain (44 percent) is leading former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani (25 percent), former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (11 percent) and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (6 percent) for the Republican presidential nomination among Arizona Republican voters. Among Democratic voters in Arizona, New York Senator Hillary Clinton (28 percent) and Illinois Senator Barack Obama (24 percent) are running neck-and-neck. Former Vice President Al Gore and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards received 16 percent and 14 percent of the Democratic vote in Arizona.

Pitting McCain and Clinton “head-to-head,” McCain leads among Arizona voters 52 percent to 32 percent with 16 percent undecided.

In looking at a number of state issues, the Cronkite/Eight Poll found that a majority (54 percent) of Arizona voters oppose legislation that would prevent teachers from taking partisan positions in regards to political candidates or issues.

A majority of voters (54 percent) support allowing gas/electric hybrids to use High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) lanes that currently are reserved for vehicles with two or more passengers, but oppose (60 percent) allowing private companies to create High Occupancy Traffic (HOT) lanes for which people would pay tolls to use.

The poll also indicated that voters continue to want harsher penalties for illegal immigrants. Sixty-five percent support changing Arizona statutes so that illegal aliens could be charged with criminal trespass. A majority (55 percent) also support legislation that would allow felony charges to be brought against employers who hire illegal immigrants, and 51 percent of Arizona voters would go so far as to designate illegal aliens as “domestic terrorists” if they commit serious crimes while in the United States. However, support for a bill that would prohibit state government agencies from accepting identification cards issued by foreign governments as proof of identification received mixed results. Forty-five percent opposed the bill, 35 percent supported it and 20 percent had no opinion.

The statewide telephone poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points. Fifty-nine percent of the interviews were conducted in Maricopa County, 17 percent in Pima County and 24 percent in the less populated counties. The sample was 40 percent Republican, 34 percent Democrat and 26 percent Libertarians or Independent. Forty-seven percent of the voters interviewed were men and 53 percent women.

Question wording

1. A bill has been introduced that would prohibit instructors while teaching in public schools or colleges from supporting one political candidate over another or taking one side of a political, social or cultural issue? Would you support or oppose this bill?
Support 37%
Oppose 54%
No opinion 9%

2. High occupancy traffic or HOT lanes would allow people to pay a toll to drive in a reserved lane on freeways. Would you support or oppose a bill that would allow a private company to create HOT lanes in Arizona that people would pay a toll to use?
Support 31%
Oppose 60%
No opinion 9%

3. Would you support or oppose a bill that would allow owners of gasoline/electric hybrid automobiles to drive in the HOV lanes?
Support 54%
Oppose 35%
No opinion 11%

4. How about a bill that would make it a felony for Arizona businesses to employ illegal aliens? Would you support or oppose that bill?
Support 55%
Oppose 37%
No opinion 8%

5. Would you support or oppose a bill that would prohibit governmental entities in Arizona from accepting I.D. cards issued by foreign governments as proof of identification?
Support 35%
Oppose 45%
No opinion 20%

6. Would you support or oppose changing state statutes to allow law enforcement officers to charge illegal aliens with criminal trespass?
Support 65%
Oppose 27%
No opinion 8%

7. Would you support or oppose being able to classify illegal immigrants as domestic terrorists if they commit serious crimes in the U.S.?
Support 51%
Oppose 38%
No opinion 11%

8. If the next presidential election ends up being between Sen. John McCain and Sen. Hillary Clinton, would you probably vote for McCain or Clinton?
McCain 52%
Clinton 32%
No opinion 16%

9. It has been more than 30 years since the Supreme Court legalized abortion in Roe versus Wade. Do you feel that Roe versus Wade should be upheld so abortion would continue to be legal or do you believe Roe versus Wade should be overturned?
Uphold 61%
Overturn 30%
No opinion 9%

10. ASK REPUBLICANS: If the Republican primary for president in Arizona comes down to a choice between California Congressman Duncan Hunter, Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, former N.Y. mayor Rudy Giuliani, or Sen. John McCain, who would you probably vote for?
McCain 44%
Giuliani 25%
Gingrich 11%
Romney 6%
Hunter 2%
No opinion 12%
*The sampling error for Republicans was plus or minus 6.2 percent

11. ASK DEMOCRATS: If the Democratic primary for president in Arizona comes down to a choice between Sen. Hillary Clinton, Sen. Barack Obama, former Vice President Al Gore or former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, who would you probably vote for?
Clinton 28%
Obama 24%
Gore 16%
Edwards 14%
No opinion 18%
*The sampling error for Democrats was plus or minus 6.4%

KAET-TV is a part of Arizona State University.